System Dynamics Analysis of the Determinants of the Malaysian Palm Oil Price
- 1 Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Selangor, Malaysia
- 2 Institute of Agriculture and Food Policy Studies, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Malaysia
Abstract
This paper investigates the major determinants of the Malaysian palm oil price using a system dynamics approach. System dynamics methodology is very relevant for examining the feedback relationships, non-linearity and delays exist in palm oil market. It helps understand the palm oil market structure and the resultant behavior and performance particularly On crude Palm Oil (CPO) price. The simulation results indicate that the Malaysian CPO price is significantly affected by the local CPO production as well as the world CPO and soybean oil prices. It is also found that CPO price is less sensitive to biodiesel production, as biodiesel currently accounts for small portion of total CPO demand in Malaysia.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3844/ajassp.2015.355.362
Copyright: © 2015 Sahra Mohammadi, Fatimah Mohamed Arshad, Bilash Kanti Bala and Abdulla Ibragimov. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the
Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
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Keywords
- System Dynamics
- Commodity Systems
- Palm Oil
- Malaysia